Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.017976 0.019287 0.020647 0.022164 0.023811 0.025546 0.027513
2026-01-25 0.015785 0.017677 0.019739 0.022156 0.024919 0.027986 0.031660
2026-02-01 0.014194 0.016400 0.018891 0.021921 0.025523 0.029685 0.034882
2026-02-08 0.012933 0.015320 0.018092 0.021566 0.025829 0.030917 0.037497
2026-02-15 0.012020 0.014542 0.017545 0.021407 0.026277 0.032259 0.040235
2026-02-22 0.011225 0.013835 0.017008 0.021182 0.026575 0.033372 0.042686
2026-03-01 0.010575 0.013251 0.016570 0.021026 0.026913 0.034509 0.045187
2026-03-08 0.010003 0.012726 0.016163 0.020865 0.027205 0.035566 0.047602
2026-03-15 0.009583 0.012367 0.015940 0.020916 0.027759 0.036974 0.050548
2026-03-22 0.009153 0.011969 0.015637 0.020832 0.028107 0.038094 0.053128
2026-03-29 0.008781 0.011625 0.015384 0.020792 0.028498 0.039276 0.055840
2026-04-05 0.008420 0.011276 0.015103 0.020690 0.028782 0.040303 0.058361
2026-04-12 0.008084 0.010959 0.014866 0.020659 0.029197 0.041584 0.061416
2026-04-19 0.007812 0.010718 0.014725 0.020760 0.029811 0.043193 0.065085
2026-04-26 0.007466 0.010357 0.014393 0.020560 0.029957 0.044096 0.067690
2026-05-03 0.007109 0.009961 0.013992 0.020233 0.029884 0.044647 0.069746
2026-05-10 0.006830 0.009666 0.013723 0.020085 0.030073 0.045603 0.072508
2026-05-17 0.006553 0.009362 0.013424 0.019876 0.030147 0.046370 0.074987
2026-05-24 0.006311 0.009100 0.013177 0.019731 0.030311 0.047280 0.077754
2026-05-31 0.006084 0.008850 0.012936 0.019581 0.030453 0.048154 0.080498
2026-06-07 0.005920 0.008689 0.012824 0.019629 0.030916 0.049577 0.084297
2026-06-14 0.005736 0.008488 0.012640 0.019550 0.031161 0.050639 0.087499
2026-06-21 0.005571 0.008312 0.012487 0.019514 0.031471 0.051820 0.090988